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Brentford v Liverpool: expected goals, clean sheet odds and FPL picks

Gameweek 7, 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC. Our fixture model prices this match from the betting market where it is quoted, and from team strength where it is not.

BRE expected goals
1.32
LIV expected goals
1.00
BRE clean sheet
37%
LIV clean sheet
27%

Brentford — highest projected

Brentford — highest projected
PlayerPricexP
SchadeMID£6.2m4.5
AjerDEF£4.5m4.1
Lewis-PotterMID£5.5m4.0
ThiagoFWD£7.8m4.0
KayodeDEF£4.6m3.8
AnthonyMID£5.9m3.7
KelleherGKP£5.0m3.6
CollinsDEF£5.4m3.6

Liverpool — highest projected

Liverpool — highest projected
PlayerPricexP
IsakFWD£9.0m4.6
GakpoMID£7.1m4.1
A.BeckerGKP£5.5m3.7
VirgilDEF£6.5m3.4
JacquetDEF£5.0m3.4
WirtzMID£7.2m3.1
AraujoDEF£5.4m3.1
Mac AllisterMID£5.4m3.0

Clean-sheet odds are the raw Poisson figure from expected goals; the player model caps them at 60%. Predicted line-ups for both sides are on the line-ups page. Source for this fixture: strengths.