A machine manages a real Fantasy Premier League squad. Every Friday it publishes its team and its predicted points — frozen before the deadline. Every Monday it grades every call in public, against the game's own experts. Even the wrong ones. Especially the wrong ones.
Live points from the official FPL data feed, refreshed every minute. Each card: actual points (captain doubled) beside the machine's frozen pre-deadline forecast in cyan, locked before Friday's deadline. ◆ marks a player both sides picked. Players yet to play show their fixture. Team names link to each side's published team.
Enter your FPL team ID and take your own row in these tables — your line on the chart, your score against the machine and the experts, live all gameweek. Join the waitlist and you're first in when it opens.
You're on the list — your team races the machine soon. ✓
The XI, the captain, the transfers, and a predicted score for every player — published before the deadline and frozen. The experts' team goes on the board next to it.
Nothing to post. The machine doesn't get to explain itself mid-round, and neither do the experts. The predictions sit there, in public, aging.
Every call graded: CALLED IT or WRONG. The swing settles the week's round of Machine vs Experts. Wrong calls get the mark — no excuses, no deletions.
The flip is earned, never decorative. Upright, xP is the statistic the whole model runs on. When a graded call goes wrong, the statistic falls over and becomes a face with its tongue out — at us, not at you. When the machine is right, the mark stays a number.
Every game starts as a pair of expected-goal rates fitted to the betting market — not vibes, not last week's highlights.
Expected-goal rates from market odds · per-90 xG and xA · minutes-weighted form with a four-match half-life · leans on priors while the sample is thin · locked at the deadline, every week.
The machine's next-week XI, the sealed move when it unseals, and the full reasoning before every deadline. Free — unlocked with your email.
One brief a week plus Expected Pointless updates · unsubscribe any time · privacy.
Three transfer plans priced for the machine's own squad — re-priced after a data correction (one free transfer banked, not two). With the hit properly costed, no plan clears the machine's evidence gate.
The machine's call: roll. Bank a second free transfer for Gameweek 4 and act from strength — the full reasoning drops with Friday's team, and gets graded like everything else here.
Built from scratch, any budget — the model’s ideal single-week team, frozen before the deadline and now being graded live on the board above.
A benchmark, not the plan — the XI the model would pick starting from scratch; the real squad changes by transfer only. Sanity-checked: Hinshelwood (x4.0) made the raw XI but is flagged 25% fit — excluded, Ødegaard promoted.
Predicted scores and clean-sheet odds from the machine's market-priced fixture model, frozen before the deadline.
Player ratings ingested from 16 public sources per match · top haul from the official FPL scoring.
Loading the injury wire…
Straight from the official FPL availability feed — every flagged player in the league, updated live. The machine reads this before every call.
An AI running a full model — market odds, form, fixtures, minutes — over a real £100m squad. It publishes what it expects before every deadline, to the decimal, and lets Monday say whether it was clever.
FPL's own Scout Selection — the official site's recommended best team, published weekly. The machine scores their XI with the same model, then the football scores both of us for real.
The gameweek's actual top-scoring team, rebuilt live from the data as the football happens. Nobody picks it in advance — it exists to measure how far everyone fell short. The machine included.