FPL fixture ticker: the easiest fixtures, Gameweek 7 to 12
A fixture ticker that is not a 1–5 rating. Each cell is what our fixture model expects from that match — goals scored in the attack view, clean-sheet probability in the defence view — priced off the betting market where a line is quoted.
Over Gameweeks 7 to 12 the easiest fixtures for attacking returns belong to Manchester City, Brighton & Hove Albion, Chelsea and Arsenal. The best runs for a clean sheet belong to Manchester City, Arsenal, Leeds United and Brighton & Hove Albion. Both tables below are sorted best-first, so the top row is the club with the kindest run of the six.
Attack — expected goals scored
Best runs at the top. The number in each cell is expected goals for that team in that fixture.
| Club | GW7 | GW8 | GW9 | GW10 | GW11 | GW12 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCI | IPS3.5 | AVL (a)2.2 | BHA1.7 | NFO (a)1.9 | FUL2.9 | ARS (a)1.2 | 13.4 |
| BHA | CRY3.1 | LIV (a)1.5 | MCI (a)1.2 | BRE2.0 | HUL (a)2.0 | NEW3.0 | 12.8 |
| CHE | EVE (a)1.4 | TOT2.5 | MUN2.0 | SUN (a)2.1 | LEE1.7 | NFO (a)1.7 | 11.5 |
| ARS | NFO (a)1.5 | EVE1.5 | LIV (a)1.2 | HUL2.1 | NEW (a)1.9 | MCI1.2 | 9.3 |
| MUN | LEE (a)1.1 | BOU2.1 | CHE (a)1.6 | AVL1.9 | LIV (a)1.1 | BRE1.4 | 9.2 |
| LEE | MUN1.2 | SUN (a)1.3 | BOU (a)1.4 | TOT1.6 | CHE (a)1.3 | COV1.9 | 8.7 |
| BRE | LIV1.4 | HUL (a)1.5 | NFO1.7 | BHA (a)1.0 | EVE1.4 | MUN (a)1.2 | 8.1 |
| NEW | AVL1.8 | CRY (a)1.6 | EVE1.2 | FUL (a)1.5 | ARS1.0 | BHA (a)0.9 | 8.0 |
| CRY | BHA (a)0.8 | NEW1.7 | TOT (a)1.2 | LIV1.1 | COV (a)1.5 | HUL1.5 | 7.7 |
| EVE | CHE1.6 | ARS (a)0.7 | NEW (a)1.4 | COV1.9 | BRE (a)0.9 | LIV1.1 | 7.6 |
| BOU | SUN1.6 | MUN (a)0.9 | LEE1.0 | IPS (a)1.5 | NFO1.2 | FUL (a)1.2 | 7.5 |
| SUN | BOU (a)1.2 | LEE0.9 | COV (a)1.3 | CHE1.4 | AVL (a)1.1 | TOT1.4 | 7.4 |
| AVL | NEW (a)1.2 | MCI0.8 | FUL1.4 | MUN (a)0.9 | SUN1.5 | IPS (a)1.4 | 7.1 |
| IPS | MCI (a)0.6 | NFO1.2 | HUL (a)1.1 | BOU1.6 | TOT (a)1.1 | AVL1.4 | 7.0 |
| LIV | BRE (a)1.0 | BHA1.1 | ARS0.9 | CRY (a)1.6 | MUN1.4 | EVE (a)0.9 | 7.0 |
| FUL | HUL1.2 | COV (a)1.2 | AVL (a)1.0 | NEW1.4 | MCI (a)0.5 | BOU1.4 | 6.7 |
| HUL | FUL (a)1.1 | BRE1.0 | IPS1.7 | ARS (a)0.6 | BHA0.8 | CRY (a)1.2 | 6.3 |
| NFO | ARS0.7 | IPS (a)1.3 | BRE (a)0.8 | MCI0.7 | BOU (a)1.1 | CHE1.3 | 5.9 |
| TOT | COV1.1 | CHE (a)0.8 | CRY1.1 | LEE (a)0.5 | IPS1.2 | SUN (a)0.8 | 5.5 |
| COV | TOT (a)0.8 | FUL1.1 | SUN1.1 | EVE (a)0.6 | CRY1.2 | LEE (a)0.6 | 5.2 |
Defence — clean-sheet probability
Best runs at the top. The number is the chance of a clean sheet in that fixture.
| Club | GW7 | GW8 | GW9 | GW10 | GW11 | GW12 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCI | IPS54% | AVL (a)47% | BHA31% | NFO (a)50% | FUL58% | ARS (a)31% | 2.7 |
| ARS | NFO (a)50% | EVE50% | LIV (a)39% | HUL56% | NEW (a)38% | MCI30% | 2.6 |
| LEE | MUN35% | SUN (a)39% | BOU (a)36% | TOT59% | CHE (a)18% | COV57% | 2.4 |
| BHA | CRY46% | LIV (a)34% | MCI (a)18% | BRE37% | HUL (a)44% | NEW41% | 2.2 |
| EVE | CHE25% | ARS (a)23% | NEW (a)30% | COV57% | BRE (a)26% | LIV39% | 2.0 |
| BRE | LIV36% | HUL (a)38% | NFO47% | BHA (a)14% | EVE39% | MUN (a)24% | 2.0 |
| LIV | BRE (a)26% | BHA23% | ARS30% | CRY (a)35% | MUN35% | EVE (a)34% | 1.8 |
| MUN | LEE (a)29% | BOU39% | CHE (a)13% | AVL42% | LIV (a)25% | BRE29% | 1.8 |
| CHE | EVE (a)20% | TOT47% | MUN21% | SUN (a)25% | LEE28% | NFO (a)28% | 1.7 |
| TOT | COV45% | CHE (a)8% | CRY30% | LEE (a)21% | IPS33% | SUN (a)26% | 1.6 |
| SUN | BOU (a)21% | LEE26% | COV (a)34% | CHE12% | AVL (a)23% | TOT45% | 1.6 |
| FUL | HUL34% | COV (a)35% | AVL (a)24% | NEW23% | MCI (a)6% | BOU30% | 1.5 |
| BOU | SUN29% | MUN (a)12% | LEE25% | IPS (a)21% | NFO32% | FUL (a)25% | 1.4 |
| CRY | BHA (a)5% | NEW20% | TOT (a)34% | LIV20% | COV (a)31% | HUL30% | 1.4 |
| COV | TOT (a)32% | FUL30% | SUN26% | EVE (a)15% | CRY22% | LEE (a)15% | 1.4 |
| AVL | NEW (a)17% | MCI11% | FUL37% | MUN (a)14% | SUN33% | IPS (a)24% | 1.4 |
| HUL | FUL (a)31% | BRE22% | IPS34% | ARS (a)13% | BHA13% | CRY (a)23% | 1.4 |
| NFO | ARS23% | IPS (a)30% | BRE (a)19% | MCI15% | BOU (a)29% | CHE18% | 1.3 |
| IPS | MCI (a)3% | NFO27% | HUL (a)19% | BOU22% | TOT (a)30% | AVL25% | 1.3 |
| NEW | AVL29% | CRY (a)18% | EVE25% | FUL (a)25% | ARS15% | BHA (a)5% | 1.2 |
Every fixture is also priced individually — see the predicted line-ups for who is expected to start, or the projection table for the players these fixtures favour. Clean-sheet figures here are the raw Poisson number; the player model caps them at 60%.