Calafiori FPL: buy, sell or hold?
Calafiori plays DEF for Arsenal at £6.0m, owned by 53.4% of managers. Projection, form, every public rating we hold and our own forecast record — free.
Should you sell Calafiori?
Calafiori is our 3rd-ranked defender of 217 for the next 6 gameweeks, on 29.2 projected points. Only 2 defenders at his price or below project higher, so he is close to the best of his bracket.
| Instead of Calafiori | Price | To GW12 | Gain |
|---|---|---|---|
 De Cuyper BHA | £5.2m | 36.3 | 7.1 |
 Guéhi MCI | £6.0m | 32.7 | 3.5 |
Is Calafiori injured?
No. Calafiori carries no injury flag — the official FPL status is available and there is no news against his name. This page reads that status straight from the game and updates with every sync.
Projection by gameweek
| Gameweek | Fixture | xP |
|---|---|---|
| GW7 | at NFO | 5.2 |
| GW8 | v EVE | 5.1 |
| GW9 | at LIV | 4.4 |
| GW10 | v HUL | 5.7 |
| GW11 | at NEW | 4.9 |
| GW12 | v MCI | 4.0 |
Our record on Calafiori
What we forecast before each deadline, against what he actually scored. Published first, graded after — the misses stay up. Rows marked backtest were produced later by re-running the model with only the data it would have had at the time; they were never published in advance and are kept out of our accuracy record.
| Gameweek | Mins | Forecast | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 backtest | 80 | 1.2 | 9 | 7.8 |
| GW2 | 90 | 4.1 | 11 | 6.9 |
| GW3 | 66 | 3.3 | 2 | 1.3 |
| GW4 | 90 | 3.8 | 6 | 2.2 |
| GW5 | 90 | 3.3 | 1 | 2.3 |
| GW6 | 81 | 4.0 | 9 | 5.0 |
This season, match by match
| GW | Opponent | Mins | G | A | DefCon | xG/xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 | v COV | 80 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.04/0.09 | 9 |
| GW2 | at AVL | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.11/0.46 | 11 |
| GW3 | v CHE | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.39/0.03 | 2 |
| GW4 | at SUN | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.06/0.01 | 6 |
| GW5 | at BHA | 90 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.07/0.03 | 1 |
| GW6 | v LEE | 81 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.55/0.06 | 9 |
497 minutes, 1 goal, 2 assists, 38 points.
Match ratings
A blend of independent match ratings for Calafiori, each normalised to its own scale before averaging, so a strict marker and a generous one carry equal weight. Versus average is how far above or below the league he graded.
| GW | Rating | Vs average | Raters |
|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 | 7.7 | +0.84 | 2 |
| GW3 | 6.4 | -0.69 | 1 |
In the feed
| Date | Story | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | THE MODEL | Best XI for Gameweek 8: 4-4-2, Haaland captain |
| 2026-10-17 | TEAM NEWS | Janelt (BRE): Suspended until 31 Oct |
| 2026-10-17 | TEAM NEWS | Szoboszlai (LIV): Hamstring injury - Unknown return date |
| 2026-10-17 | TEAM NEWS | Martinez (CHE): Head injury - Unknown return date |
| 2026-10-17 | THE MODEL | Best XI for Gameweek 8: 4-4-2, Haaland captain |
| 2026-10-17 | THE MODEL | Best XI for Gameweek 7: 4-4-2, Haaland captain |
More
The rest of the Arsenal squad and their predicted XI · All 654 players ranked · Price changes tonight · Differentials · Our forecast record · Gameweek 6 results · Gameweek 5 results