João Pedro FPL: buy, sell or hold?
João Pedro plays FWD for Chelsea at £7.8m, owned by 72.5% of managers. Projection, form, every public rating we hold and our own forecast record — free.
Should you sell João Pedro?
João Pedro is our 2nd-ranked forward of 79 for the next 6 gameweeks, on 35.0 projected points. Nothing at his price or below is projected to beat him, so on the numbers there is no upgrade to make — selling him would be a sideways move at best.
Is João Pedro injured?
No. João Pedro carries no injury flag — the official FPL status is available and there is no news against his name. This page reads that status straight from the game and updates with every sync.
Projection by gameweek
| Gameweek | Fixture | xP |
|---|---|---|
| GW7 | at EVE | 5.1 |
| GW8 | v TOT | 6.6 |
| GW9 | v MUN | 6.0 |
| GW10 | at SUN | 6.2 |
| GW11 | v LEE | 5.6 |
| GW12 | at NFO | 5.5 |
Our record on João Pedro
What we forecast before each deadline, against what he actually scored. Published first, graded after — the misses stay up. Rows marked backtest were produced later by re-running the model with only the data it would have had at the time; they were never published in advance and are kept out of our accuracy record.
| Gameweek | Mins | Forecast | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 backtest | 90 | 1.1 | 11 | 9.9 |
| GW2 | 90 | 4.4 | 9 | 4.6 |
| GW3 | 90 | 3.2 | 1 | 2.2 |
| GW4 | 90 | 5.0 | 12 | 7.0 |
| GW5 | 0 | 3.8 | 0 | 3.8 |
| GW6 | 71 | 4.9 | 12 | 7.1 |
This season, match by match
| GW | Opponent | Mins | G | A | DefCon | xG/xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 | at FUL | 90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.63/0.06 | 11 |
| GW2 | v BHA | 90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1.23/0.04 | 9 |
| GW3 | at ARS | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02/0.05 | 1 |
| GW4 | v HUL | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.29/0.04 | 12 |
| GW5 | at BRE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00/0.00 | 0 |
| GW6 | v BOU | 71 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0.60/0.10 | 12 |
431 minutes, 5 goals, 3 assists, 45 points.
Match ratings
A blend of independent match ratings for João Pedro, each normalised to its own scale before averaging, so a strict marker and a generous one carry equal weight. Versus average is how far above or below the league he graded.
| GW | Rating | Vs average | Raters |
|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 | 8.0 | +1.25 | 2 |
| GW3 | 6.3 | -0.82 | 1 |
In the feed
| Date | Story | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | THE MODEL | Best XI for Gameweek 8: 4-4-2, Haaland captain |
| 2026-10-17 | THE MODEL | Best XI for Gameweek 8: 4-4-2, Haaland captain |
| 2026-10-17 | THE MODEL | Best XI for Gameweek 7: 4-4-2, Haaland captain |
| 2026-10-16 | THE MODEL | Best XI for Gameweek 7: 4-4-2, Haaland captain |
| 2026-10-15 | THE MODEL | Best XI for Gameweek 7: 4-4-2, Haaland captain |
| 2026-10-14 | THE MODEL | Best XI for Gameweek 7: 4-4-2, Haaland captain |
More
The rest of the Chelsea squad and their predicted XI · All 654 players ranked · Price changes tonight · Differentials · Our forecast record · Gameweek 6 results · Gameweek 5 results