Rice FPL: buy, sell or hold?
Rice plays MID for Arsenal at £7.3m, owned by 10.9% of managers. Projection, form, every public rating we hold and our own forecast record — free.
Should you sell Rice?
Rice is our 28th-ranked midfielder of 299 for the next 6 gameweeks, on 21.6 projected points. 19 midfielders at his price or below project higher over the same run. The best 5 are below — if you are moving him on, that is where the money goes.
| Instead of Rice | Price | To GW12 | Gain |
|---|---|---|---|
 Groß BHA | £6.1m | 33.9 | 12.3 |
 Mbeumo MUN | £7.8m | 32.8 | 11.2 |
 Ødegaard ARS | £6.8m | 30.9 | 9.3 |
 Tavernier BOU | £6.1m | 26.7 | 5.1 |
 Dewsbury-Hall EVE | £6.6m | 26.4 | 4.8 |
Is Rice injured?
No. Rice carries no injury flag — the official FPL status is available and there is no news against his name. This page reads that status straight from the game and updates with every sync.
Projection by gameweek
| Gameweek | Fixture | xP |
|---|---|---|
| GW7 | at NFO | 3.7 |
| GW8 | v EVE | 3.6 |
| GW9 | at LIV | 3.4 |
| GW10 | v HUL | 3.9 |
| GW11 | at NEW | 3.7 |
| GW12 | v MCI | 3.2 |
Our record on Rice
What we forecast before each deadline, against what he actually scored. Published first, graded after — the misses stay up. Rows marked backtest were produced later by re-running the model with only the data it would have had at the time; they were never published in advance and are kept out of our accuracy record.
| Gameweek | Mins | Forecast | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 backtest | 67 | 1.1 | 3 | 1.9 |
| GW2 | 84 | 3.1 | 5 | 1.9 |
| GW3 | 90 | 2.8 | 5 | 2.2 |
| GW4 | 80 | 3.0 | 6 | 3.0 |
| GW5 | 90 | 2.7 | 1 | 1.7 |
| GW6 | 90 | 3.1 | 7 | 3.9 |
This season, match by match
| GW | Opponent | Mins | G | A | DefCon | xG/xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 | v COV | 67 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.07/0.08 | 3 |
| GW2 | at AVL | 84 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0.00/0.10 | 5 |
| GW3 | v CHE | 90 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0.03/0.08 | 5 |
| GW4 | at SUN | 80 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0.00/0.37 | 6 |
| GW5 | at BHA | 90 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.02/0.06 | 1 |
| GW6 | v LEE | 90 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0.00/0.08 | 7 |
501 minutes, 0 goals, 3 assists, 27 points.
Match ratings
A blend of independent match ratings for Rice, each normalised to its own scale before averaging, so a strict marker and a generous one carry equal weight. Versus average is how far above or below the league he graded.
| GW | Rating | Vs average | Raters |
|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 | 7.0 | -0.13 | 1 |
| GW3 | 7.8 | +1.10 | 1 |
In the feed
| Date | Story | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | TEAM NEWS | Rice (ARS): Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing |
More
The rest of the Arsenal squad and their predicted XI · All 654 players ranked · Price changes tonight · Differentials · Our forecast record · Gameweek 6 results · Gameweek 5 results