Saka FPL: buy, sell or hold?
Saka plays MID for Arsenal at £9.6m, owned by 16.9% of managers. Projection, form, every public rating we hold and our own forecast record — free.
Should you sell Saka?
Saka is our 1st-ranked midfielder of 299 for the next 6 gameweeks, on 36.8 projected points. Nothing at his price or below is projected to beat him, so on the numbers there is no upgrade to make — selling him would be a sideways move at best.
Is Saka injured?
No. Saka carries no injury flag — the official FPL status is available and there is no news against his name. This page reads that status straight from the game and updates with every sync.
Projection by gameweek
| Gameweek | Fixture | xP |
|---|---|---|
| GW7 | at NFO | 6.1 |
| GW8 | v EVE | 6.1 |
| GW9 | at LIV | 5.3 |
| GW10 | v HUL | 7.2 |
| GW11 | at NEW | 6.8 |
| GW12 | v MCI | 5.2 |
Our record on Saka
What we forecast before each deadline, against what he actually scored. Published first, graded after — the misses stay up. Rows marked backtest were produced later by re-running the model with only the data it would have had at the time; they were never published in advance and are kept out of our accuracy record.
| Gameweek | Mins | Forecast | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 backtest | 67 | 1.5 | 9 | 7.5 |
| GW2 | 90 | 4.8 | 11 | 6.2 |
| GW3 | 89 | 4.2 | 2 | 2.2 |
| GW4 | 90 | 4.6 | 8 | 3.4 |
| GW5 | 80 | 4.1 | 2 | 2.1 |
| GW6 | 90 | 4.7 | 2 | 2.7 |
This season, match by match
| GW | Opponent | Mins | G | A | DefCon | xG/xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 | v COV | 67 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.64/0.08 | 9 |
| GW2 | at AVL | 90 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0.63/0.04 | 11 |
| GW3 | v CHE | 89 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.23/0.23 | 2 |
| GW4 | at SUN | 90 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1.38/0.08 | 8 |
| GW5 | at BHA | 80 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.34/0.55 | 2 |
| GW6 | v LEE | 90 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.41/0.06 | 2 |
506 minutes, 3 goals, 0 assists, 34 points.
Match ratings
A blend of independent match ratings for Saka, each normalised to its own scale before averaging, so a strict marker and a generous one carry equal weight. Versus average is how far above or below the league he graded.
| GW | Rating | Vs average | Raters |
|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 | 7.9 | +1.10 | 2 |
| GW3 | 7.3 | +0.46 | 1 |
In the feed
| Date | Story | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | THE MODEL | Best XI for Gameweek 8: 4-4-2, Haaland captain |
| 2026-10-17 | THE MODEL | Best XI for Gameweek 8: 4-4-2, Haaland captain |
| 2026-10-17 | THE MODEL | Best XI for Gameweek 7: 4-4-2, Haaland captain |
| 2026-10-16 | THE MODEL | Best XI for Gameweek 7: 4-4-2, Haaland captain |
| 2026-10-15 | THE MODEL | Best XI for Gameweek 7: 4-4-2, Haaland captain |
| 2026-10-14 | THE MODEL | Best XI for Gameweek 7: 4-4-2, Haaland captain |
More
The rest of the Arsenal squad and their predicted XI · All 654 players ranked · Price changes tonight · Differentials · Our forecast record · Gameweek 6 results · Gameweek 5 results