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Kovačić FPL: buy, sell or hold?

Kovačić plays MID for Manchester City at £5.3m, owned by 0.1% of managers. Projection, form, every public rating we hold and our own forecast record — free.

Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
Price
5.3m
Owned
0.1%
GW8 xP
1.6
To GW13
10.5
Minutes
91
Form rating
30th pct · 1 rated

Should you sell Kovačić?

Kovačić is our 100th-ranked midfielder of 299 for the next 6 gameweeks, on 10.5 projected points. 61 midfielders at his price or below project higher over the same run. The best 5 are below — if you are moving him on, that is where the money goes.

Should you sell Kovačić?
Instead of KovačićPriceTo GW13Gain
Ndiaye MCI£5.8m25.114.6
Henderson CHE£4.9m24.313.8
Gomez BHA£5.0m23.813.3
Mainoo MUN£5.5m22.512.0
Lewis-Potter BRE£5.5m22.211.7

Is Kovačić injured?

Kovačić is currently flagged as a doubt. The club news reads: “Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing” FPL puts his chance of playing the next match at 75%. A flagged player still scores if he plays; the risk is that he does not start.

Projection by gameweek

Projection by gameweek
GameweekFixturexP
GW8at AVL1.6
GW9v BHA1.7
GW10at NFO1.9
GW11v FUL2.0
GW12at ARS1.6
GW13v LEE1.8

Our record on Kovačić

What we forecast before each deadline, against what he actually scored. Published first, graded after — the misses stay up. Rows marked backtest were produced later by re-running the model with only the data it would have had at the time; they were never published in advance and are kept out of our accuracy record.

Our record on Kovačić
GameweekMinsForecastActual Diff
GW1 backtest270.710.3
GW2151.410.4
GW301.401.4
GW401.201.2
GW501.401.4
GW601.201.2
GW7491.453.6

This season, match by match

This season, match by match
GWOpponentMinsGA DefConxG/xAPts
GW1v BOU270020.00/0.011
GW2at CRY150000.00/0.011
GW3v COV00000.00/0.000
GW4at MUN00000.00/0.000
GW5v SUN00000.00/0.000
GW6at LIV00000.00/0.000
GW7v IPS490140.00/0.175

91 minutes, 0 goals, 1 assist, 7 points.

Match ratings

A blend of independent match ratings for Kovačić, each normalised to its own scale before averaging, so a strict marker and a generous one carry equal weight. Versus average is how far above or below the league he graded.

Match ratings
GWRatingVs averageRaters
GW16.0-0.461

More

The rest of the Manchester City squad and their predicted XI · All 654 players ranked · Price changes tonight · Differentials · Our forecast record · Gameweek 7 results · Gameweek 6 results