Kovačić FPL: buy, sell or hold?
Kovačić plays MID for Manchester City at £5.3m, owned by 0.1% of managers. Projection, form, every public rating we hold and our own forecast record — free.
Should you sell Kovačić?
Kovačić is our 100th-ranked midfielder of 299 for the next 6 gameweeks, on 10.5 projected points. 61 midfielders at his price or below project higher over the same run. The best 5 are below — if you are moving him on, that is where the money goes.
| Instead of Kovačić | Price | To GW13 | Gain |
|---|---|---|---|
| £5.8m | 25.1 | 14.6 | |
| £4.9m | 24.3 | 13.8 | |
| £5.0m | 23.8 | 13.3 | |
| £5.5m | 22.5 | 12.0 | |
| £5.5m | 22.2 | 11.7 |
Is Kovačić injured?
Kovačić is currently flagged as a doubt. The club news reads: “Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing” FPL puts his chance of playing the next match at 75%. A flagged player still scores if he plays; the risk is that he does not start.
Projection by gameweek
| Gameweek | Fixture | xP |
|---|---|---|
| GW8 | at AVL | 1.6 |
| GW9 | v BHA | 1.7 |
| GW10 | at NFO | 1.9 |
| GW11 | v FUL | 2.0 |
| GW12 | at ARS | 1.6 |
| GW13 | v LEE | 1.8 |
Our record on Kovačić
What we forecast before each deadline, against what he actually scored. Published first, graded after — the misses stay up. Rows marked backtest were produced later by re-running the model with only the data it would have had at the time; they were never published in advance and are kept out of our accuracy record.
| Gameweek | Mins | Forecast | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 backtest | 27 | 0.7 | 1 | 0.3 |
| GW2 | 15 | 1.4 | 1 | 0.4 |
| GW3 | 0 | 1.4 | 0 | 1.4 |
| GW4 | 0 | 1.2 | 0 | 1.2 |
| GW5 | 0 | 1.4 | 0 | 1.4 |
| GW6 | 0 | 1.2 | 0 | 1.2 |
| GW7 | 49 | 1.4 | 5 | 3.6 |
This season, match by match
| GW | Opponent | Mins | G | A | DefCon | xG/xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 | v BOU | 27 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00/0.01 | 1 |
| GW2 | at CRY | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00/0.01 | 1 |
| GW3 | v COV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00/0.00 | 0 |
| GW4 | at MUN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00/0.00 | 0 |
| GW5 | v SUN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00/0.00 | 0 |
| GW6 | at LIV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00/0.00 | 0 |
| GW7 | v IPS | 49 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.00/0.17 | 5 |
91 minutes, 0 goals, 1 assist, 7 points.
Match ratings
A blend of independent match ratings for Kovačić, each normalised to its own scale before averaging, so a strict marker and a generous one carry equal weight. Versus average is how far above or below the league he graded.
| GW | Rating | Vs average | Raters |
|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 | 6.0 | -0.46 | 1 |
More
The rest of the Manchester City squad and their predicted XI · All 654 players ranked · Price changes tonight · Differentials · Our forecast record · Gameweek 7 results · Gameweek 6 results