Murillo FPL: buy, sell or hold?
Murillo plays DEF for Nottingham Forest at £5.5m, owned by 2.0% of managers. Projection, form, every public rating we hold and our own forecast record — free.
Should you sell Murillo?
Murillo is our 19th-ranked defender of 217 for the next 6 gameweeks, on 23.8 projected points. 15 defenders at his price or below project higher over the same run. The best 5 are below — if you are moving him on, that is where the money goes.
| Instead of Murillo | Price | To GW12 | Gain |
|---|---|---|---|
 De Cuyper BHA | £5.2m | 36.3 | 12.5 |
 Guéhi MCI | £6.0m | 32.7 | 8.9 |
 Calafiori ARS | £6.0m | 29.2 | 5.4 |
 Vuskovic BHA | £5.1m | 28.3 | 4.5 |
 Bogle LEE | £4.7m | 28.2 | 4.4 |
Is Murillo injured?
No. Murillo carries no injury flag — the official FPL status is available and there is no news against his name. This page reads that status straight from the game and updates with every sync.
Projection by gameweek
| Gameweek | Fixture | xP |
|---|---|---|
| GW7 | v ARS | 3.9 |
| GW8 | at IPS | 4.5 |
| GW9 | at BRE | 3.7 |
| GW10 | v MCI | 3.5 |
| GW11 | at BOU | 4.3 |
| GW12 | v CHE | 3.9 |
Our record on Murillo
What we forecast before each deadline, against what he actually scored. Published first, graded after — the misses stay up. Rows marked backtest were produced later by re-running the model with only the data it would have had at the time; they were never published in advance and are kept out of our accuracy record.
| Gameweek | Mins | Forecast | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 backtest | 90 | 0.9 | 4 | 3.1 |
| GW2 | 90 | 2.6 | 1 | 1.6 |
| GW3 | 89 | 3.7 | 8 | 4.3 |
| GW4 | 90 | 3.1 | 6 | 2.9 |
| GW5 | 90 | 4.4 | 4 | 0.4 |
| GW6 | 90 | 3.3 | 2 | 1.3 |
This season, match by match
| GW | Opponent | Mins | G | A | DefCon | xG/xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 | v LEE | 90 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0.00/0.28 | 4 |
| GW2 | at LIV | 90 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.18/0.00 | 1 |
| GW3 | v TOT | 89 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0.17/0.00 | 8 |
| GW4 | at AVL | 90 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0.00/0.01 | 6 |
| GW5 | v COV | 90 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0.07/0.08 | 4 |
| GW6 | at CRY | 90 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0.28/0.01 | 2 |
539 minutes, 0 goals, 1 assist, 25 points.
Match ratings
A blend of independent match ratings for Murillo, each normalised to its own scale before averaging, so a strict marker and a generous one carry equal weight. Versus average is how far above or below the league he graded.
| GW | Rating | Vs average | Raters |
|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 | 7.1 | +0.24 | 2 |
In the feed
| Date | Story | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | THE MODEL | Best XI for Gameweek 6: 4-5-1, B.Fernandes captain |
| 2026-09-20 | THE MODEL | Best XI for Gameweek 6: 4-4-2, Haaland captain |
| 2026-09-19 | THE MODEL | Best XI for Gameweek 6: 4-4-2, Haaland captain |
| 2026-09-18 | THE MODEL | Best XI for Gameweek 6: 5-3-2, Haaland captain |
| 2026-09-18 | THE MODEL | Best XI for Gameweek 5: 5-3-2, Haaland captain |
| 2026-09-17 | THE MODEL | Best XI for Gameweek 5: 4-4-2, Haaland captain |
More
The rest of the Nottingham Forest squad and their predicted XI · All 654 players ranked · Price changes tonight · Differentials · Our forecast record · Gameweek 6 results · Gameweek 5 results