Shaw FPL: buy, sell or hold?
Shaw plays DEF for Manchester United at £4.3m, owned by 5.8% of managers. Projection, form, every public rating we hold and our own forecast record — free.
Should you sell Shaw?
Shaw is our 52nd-ranked defender of 217 for the next 6 gameweeks, on 19.0 projected points. 21 defenders at his price or below project higher over the same run. The best 5 are below — if you are moving him on, that is where the money goes.
| Instead of Shaw | Price | To GW12 | Gain |
|---|---|---|---|
 Bogle LEE | £4.7m | 28.2 | 9.2 |
 Justin LEE | £4.5m | 26.9 | 7.9 |
 Thomas COV | £4.0m | 24.4 | 5.4 |
 Schuster BRE | £4.5m | 24.1 | 5.1 |
 Konsa ARS | £4.6m | 24.0 | 5.0 |
Is Shaw injured?
Shaw is currently flagged as a doubt. The club news reads: “Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing” FPL puts his chance of playing the next match at 75%. A flagged player still scores if he plays; the risk is that he does not start.
Projection by gameweek
| Gameweek | Fixture | xP |
|---|---|---|
| GW7 | at LEE | 2.5 |
| GW8 | v BOU | 3.9 |
| GW9 | at CHE | 2.6 |
| GW10 | v AVL | 3.9 |
| GW11 | at LIV | 3.0 |
| GW12 | v BRE | 3.2 |
Our record on Shaw
What we forecast before each deadline, against what he actually scored. Published first, graded after — the misses stay up. Rows marked backtest were produced later by re-running the model with only the data it would have had at the time; they were never published in advance and are kept out of our accuracy record.
| Gameweek | Mins | Forecast | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 backtest | 90 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.2 |
| GW2 | 72 | 3.5 | 2 | 1.5 |
| GW3 | 90 | 2.5 | 4 | 1.5 |
| GW4 | 0 | 2.3 | 0 | 2.3 |
| GW5 | 83 | 2.8 | 2 | 0.8 |
| GW6 | 90 | 3.2 | 3 | 0.2 |
This season, match by match
| GW | Opponent | Mins | G | A | DefCon | xG/xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 | at HUL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.00/0.26 | 1 |
| GW2 | v IPS | 72 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.00/0.02 | 2 |
| GW3 | at EVE | 90 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0.02/0.23 | 4 |
| GW4 | v MCI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00/0.00 | 0 |
| GW5 | at FUL | 83 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.01/0.07 | 2 |
| GW6 | v TOT | 90 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0.00/0.01 | 3 |
425 minutes, 0 goals, 1 assist, 12 points.
Match ratings
A blend of independent match ratings for Shaw, each normalised to its own scale before averaging, so a strict marker and a generous one carry equal weight. Versus average is how far above or below the league he graded.
| GW | Rating | Vs average | Raters |
|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 | 5.3 | -0.65 | 2 |
| GW3 | 7.8 | +1.10 | 1 |
In the feed
| Date | Story | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | TEAM NEWS | Shaw (MUN): Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing |
| 2026-09-11 | TEAM NEWS | Shaw (MUN): Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing |
More
The rest of the Manchester United squad and their predicted XI · All 654 players ranked · Price changes tonight · Differentials · Our forecast record · Gameweek 6 results · Gameweek 5 results