Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur: expected goals, clean sheet odds and FPL picks
Gameweek 8, 2026-10-24 16:30 UTC. Our fixture model prices this match from the betting market where it is quoted, and from team strength where it is not.
CHE expected goals
2.47
TOT expected goals
0.88
CHE clean sheet
41%
TOT clean sheet
8%
Chelsea — highest projected
| Player | Price | xP | |
|---|---|---|---|
 João Pedro | FWD | £7.9m | 6.7 |
 Rogers | MID | £8.0m | 6.2 |
 Palmer | MID | £9.7m | 5.6 |
 Lacroix | DEF | £5.9m | 4.7 |
 Neto | MID | £6.5m | 4.2 |
 Penders | GKP | £4.4m | 4.1 |
 Colwill | DEF | £4.8m | 3.7 |
 Henderson | MID | £4.9m | 3.4 |
Tottenham Hotspur — highest projected
| Player | Price | xP | |
|---|---|---|---|
 Van Hecke | DEF | £4.9m | 2.9 |
 Tonali | MID | £5.3m | 2.9 |
 Solanke | FWD | £5.8m | 2.8 |
 Kinsky | GKP | £4.5m | 2.6 |
 Gallagher | MID | £5.3m | 2.6 |
 Kudus | MID | £6.5m | 2.4 |
 Senesi | DEF | £5.7m | 2.3 |
 Gray | MID | £4.9m | 2.3 |
Clean-sheet odds are the raw Poisson figure from expected goals; the player model caps them at 60%. Predicted line-ups for both sides are on the line-ups page. Source for this fixture: strengths.